Objectively speaking, the realization of the metaverse is much more complicated than the Internet, which is composed, operated and managed by computers, network cables, optical fibers, mice, mobile communications, smartphones, databases, computer rooms, switches, etc. Metaverse built on a high-tech foundation requires augmented reality, virtual reality, mixed reality, extended reality, user interaction (human-computer interaction), computer vision, artificial intelligence, three-dimensional, cloud, big data, blockchain, digital twin , edge and cloud computing, 5G∕6G and other technologies, and these high-tech corresponding infrastructure and equipment are also required, including popular Internet, high-speed broadband and mobile communication equipment, giant servers, and wearable devices. The R&D, industrialization, and application of these high-tech and facilities will take time.
Take the various virtual reality helmets currently on the market as an example. Some users will experience dizziness, fatigue, vertigo, nausea and other feelings soon after wearing them, and they are not suitable for long-term use. This problem has greatly hindered the productization of the metaverse and people’s acceptance of the metaverse.
The Metaverse is a huge system project far more complex than the Internet. Now, people in the industry generally believe that it will take at least 10 years for the metaverse to be completed and realized, and it will take 20 to 30 years for it to mature. An associate researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences said that it will take about 10 to 20 years before we realize the basic scenario of the Metaverse.
These are ideal forecasts for now. As for the actual development, we need to make observations and predictions in the future. Judging by the 60-year development history of the Internet and the 33-year development history of the World Wide Web, we must be happy to see the success of the metaverse that has just “staggered” in 2021, and we must also be prepared to deal with various difficulties and challenges.
Furthermore, as an important public social space, the metaverse needs the joint efforts of multiple “stakeholders” to be built. These stakeholders include investors, enterprises, scientific researchers, legislatures, governments, non-governmental organizations, legal researchers, legal professionals, media, universities, etc. Investors and enterprises are mainly responsible for capital and algorithm control; enterprises and scientific researchers are responsible for technology and content research and development and maintenance; legislatures are responsible for legislation; the government is responsible for the implementation and supervision of laws and policies; non-governmental organizations, legal researchers, legal professionals, media etc. are responsible for other supervision; colleges and universities are responsible for personnel training.
In this way, the joint efforts of all parties can make the “conceived metaverse” truly become a “realized virtual reality world”.
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